VfB Oldenburg vs Bavenstedt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.1%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.8%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
17%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17%
12.9%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfB Oldenburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
OSN
1 - 1
VFB
23%
23%
53%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2009 |
BAR
4 - 2
VFB
20%
22%
58%
|
43 | 25 | 18 | -3 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
VFB
2 - 0
OSN
77%
15%
9%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2009 |
MEP
3 - 3
VFB
40%
25%
35%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
LIN
1 - 4
VFB
18%
21%
61%
|
42 | 22 | 20 | +1 |
Matches
Bavenstedt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
GEL
3 - 1
BAV
42%
24%
34%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2009 |
ENO
2 - 4
BAV
67%
18%
15%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | +2 |
| 20 May. 2009 |
GEL
2 - 2
BAV
43%
24%
33%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
BAV
1 - 2
PRH
55%
22%
24%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2009 |
WIL
1 - 2
BAV
25%
24%
52%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | +1 |