Marburg vs FC Hanau 93 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.7%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
63.4%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.7%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12.1%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.3%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
9º
16º
13º
34
3º
17º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
71 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
67 | 67 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
63 | 63 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
57 | 60 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
55 | 55 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
54 | 54 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
50 | 50 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
50 | 50 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
46 | 46 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
40 | 40 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
39 | 39 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
33 | 33 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
33 | 33 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
27 | 27 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
24 | 24 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
GIE
10 - 0
MAR
65%
19%
16%
|
21 | 41 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2023 |
WEY
0 - 1
MAR
5%
11%
84%
|
21 | 9 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
SFM
2 - 1
MAR
5%
11%
84%
|
22 | 9 | 13 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
TSV
3 - 5
MAR
24%
21%
55%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
FRA
2 - 2
MAR
49%
21%
31%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
FC Hanau 93
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2023 |
FCH
2 - 1
OFC
12%
20%
68%
|
32 | 52 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
EDD
1 - 2
FCH
38%
25%
38%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
FCH
2 - 3
FSV
14%
19%
67%
|
32 | 50 | 18 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
FCH
2 - 1
WAL
53%
21%
26%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
FCE
4 - 1
FCH
55%
20%
25%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | -1 |