VfB Krieschow vs Wismut Gera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.8%
Win probability
2.85
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.9%
12.3%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+93%
-24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
1º
10º
2º
31
2º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 75 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
49 | 49 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
48 | 48 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
46 | 46 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
25 | 25 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
7 | 7 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfB Krieschow
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
VFL
3 - 1
VFB
37%
22%
41%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
VFB
8 - 2
SVB
84%
10%
5%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
EIN
3 - 2
VFB
32%
23%
46%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
VFB
5 - 0
SVG
66%
18%
17%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
BUD
4 - 3
VFB
32%
22%
47%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Wismut Gera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
SVB
3 - 1
WIS
27%
20%
53%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
WIS
2 - 2
SVG
48%
22%
30%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
UNI
1 - 3
WIS
59%
21%
21%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | +2 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
WIS
2 - 0
RSV
38%
22%
40%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2024 |
WIS
0 - 1
LOK
7%
13%
80%
|
26 | 53 | 27 | 0 |