VfB Krieschow vs SC Freital analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.5%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
6%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
18.2%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+90%
+63%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
1º
10º
2º
49
5º
15º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 75 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
49 | 49 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
48 | 48 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
46 | 46 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
25 | 25 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
7 | 7 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfB Krieschow
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
AUE
1 - 3
VFB
69%
17%
14%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
VFB
2 - 2
EWD
62%
19%
19%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
MAG
2 - 1
VFB
70%
17%
13%
|
37 | 67 | 30 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
VFB
1 - 3
BIS
24%
22%
54%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | -2 |
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
BUD
3 - 3
VFB
37%
22%
42%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
SC Freital
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2024 |
SCF
1 - 2
UNI
48%
24%
28%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
EWD
3 - 4
SCF
51%
21%
28%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
SCF
1 - 0
BIS
11%
19%
70%
|
33 | 50 | 17 | +3 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
WIS
3 - 0
SCF
37%
23%
40%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | -2 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
SCF
4 - 1
SVB
62%
19%
19%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | +1 |