VfB Krieschow vs Einheit Wernigerode analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.2%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.5%
15.3%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+64%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
65
2º
16º
2º
48
3º
17º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
71 | 71 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
65 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
54 | 54 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
50 | 50 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
48 | 48 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
47 | 47 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
44 | 44 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
43 | 43 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
42 | 42 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
41 | 41 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
36 | 36 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
31 | 31 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
28 | 28 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
24 | 24 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfB Krieschow
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
EIN
1 - 2
VFB
26%
22%
52%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
VFB
6 - 1
WAC
73%
16%
12%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
VFB
4 - 1
BUD
66%
18%
17%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
PLA
2 - 2
VFB
55%
21%
25%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
VFB
0 - 2
AUE
68%
17%
15%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | -2 |
Matches
Einheit Wernigerode
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
EWD
2 - 2
EIL
33%
21%
46%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
SVG
1 - 4
EWD
49%
21%
30%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
EIN
1 - 2
EWD
48%
22%
30%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
SCF
3 - 2
EWD
69%
17%
14%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
EWD
6 - 2
WAC
46%
21%
33%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | +1 |