VfB Krieschow vs Budissa Bautzen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.3%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
17.4%
16.4%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+72%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
2º
11º
6º
35
6º
13º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 55 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 22 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 21 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfB Krieschow
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
SVA
0 - 1
VFB
20%
18%
62%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
LFC
2 - 0
VFB
12%
17%
71%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | -2 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
VFB
3 - 0
PLA
42%
22%
36%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | +3 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
EWD
2 - 2
VFB
27%
19%
54%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
VFB
3 - 0
SVG
76%
14%
10%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Budissa Bautzen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
DRE
1 - 1
BUD
33%
21%
46%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
EIL
1 - 2
BUD
62%
20%
18%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
BUD
0 - 1
LFC
55%
22%
23%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
PLA
1 - 0
BUD
65%
18%
17%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
BUD
4 - 1
EWD
49%
21%
30%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +3 |