Homberg vs Wulfrath analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.1%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.5%
13.4%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Homberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
KFI
3 - 5
VFB
26%
23%
51%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2013 |
HAM
0 - 3
VFB
67%
19%
14%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
VFB
2 - 1
DUS
20%
23%
57%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | +2 |
| 17 Apr. 2013 |
VFB
1 - 1
RWO
40%
24%
36%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
WUP
0 - 0
VFB
69%
19%
12%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Wulfrath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
WUL
1 - 0
CRO
45%
23%
32%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2013 |
WUL
1 - 0
KFI
58%
21%
21%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
BOS
0 - 1
WUL
60%
20%
20%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
WUL
0 - 1
KFC
11%
18%
71%
|
20 | 47 | 27 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2013 |
WUL
1 - 1
UED
47%
23%
30%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |