Homberg vs Speldorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.4%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.1%
11.5%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Homberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2016 |
VFB
1 - 3
KLE
33%
22%
45%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
NET
1 - 4
VFB
41%
23%
36%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
VFB
4 - 1
VUE
81%
12%
7%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
RHE
0 - 1
VFB
60%
19%
20%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | +2 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
VFB
5 - 1
SPV
81%
12%
7%
|
25 | 15 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Speldorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2016 |
SPE
1 - 3
FSV
33%
22%
45%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
KLE
1 - 1
SPE
78%
13%
8%
|
20 | 36 | 16 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
SPE
0 - 2
FCV
68%
17%
16%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
NET
4 - 1
SPE
58%
20%
22%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
SPE
5 - 2
VIG
87%
9%
5%
|
21 | 13 | 8 | -1 |