Homberg vs Speldorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.6%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
36.4%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Homberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
VFB
1 - 0
RWA
22%
22%
56%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
SCH
3 - 1
VFB
57%
22%
21%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | -2 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
VFB
3 - 1
BER
25%
24%
51%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | +3 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
HUL
1 - 0
VFB
47%
24%
28%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
DOR
1 - 1
VFB
30%
24%
46%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Speldorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
SPE
2 - 2
SCH
56%
22%
22%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
BER
2 - 2
SPE
47%
25%
29%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
SPE
0 - 2
HUL
69%
18%
13%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
KFC
2 - 1
SPE
44%
25%
32%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
SPE
4 - 2
RWA
24%
23%
53%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | +3 |