Homberg vs Speldorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
9%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.7%
11.3%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Homberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2005 |
VFB
4 - 0
VEL
28%
23%
49%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2005 |
VFB
3 - 3
FCJ
67%
18%
15%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2005 |
KFC
0 - 0
VFB
78%
15%
7%
|
28 | 53 | 25 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2005 |
VFB
6 - 1
DUS
59%
22%
19%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2005 |
SWE
2 - 3
VFB
70%
17%
13%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Speldorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2005 |
SPE
0 - 1
MSV
46%
22%
32%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2005 |
BSC
2 - 0
SPE
70%
18%
13%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2005 |
AAA
1 - 1
SPE
62%
21%
18%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2005 |
SPE
3 - 2
USO
37%
24%
39%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2005 |
KLE
5 - 1
SPE
74%
16%
10%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | 0 |