Homberg vs Velbert analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.4%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.4%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.7%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
43.1%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+95%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Homberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
KFI
0 - 1
VFB
25%
21%
54%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
SFB
2 - 1
VFB
63%
19%
18%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | -2 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
VFB
0 - 0
DUS
58%
20%
22%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | -2 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
VFB
1 - 0
DUS
73%
16%
11%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
SCH
1 - 1
VFB
58%
20%
22%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Velbert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
VEL
1 - 0
SCH
37%
23%
40%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
VEL
0 - 0
STR
37%
23%
40%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | -2 |
| 16 Dec. 2017 |
SPE
0 - 0
VEL
40%
22%
38%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | -2 |
| 06 Dec. 2017 |
VEL
1 - 1
TSG
12%
20%
68%
|
36 | 63 | 27 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
HIL
2 - 2
VEL
24%
21%
54%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |