Homberg vs Velbert analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.3%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
36%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+104%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Homberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2014 |
HIL
7 - 2
VFB
34%
23%
43%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
VFB
0 - 2
SWE
55%
23%
22%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
KAP
0 - 0
VFB
39%
23%
37%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2014 |
VFB
2 - 2
MSV
44%
25%
32%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
ESS
2 - 4
VFB
40%
24%
36%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Velbert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2014 |
VEL
0 - 1
KFC
45%
24%
31%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
ROT
3 - 1
VEL
65%
21%
14%
|
36 | 53 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
VEL
2 - 2
AAA
23%
25%
52%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
FOR
1 - 3
VEL
65%
20%
15%
|
34 | 48 | 14 | +2 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
VEL
0 - 3
BAY
20%
24%
56%
|
36 | 51 | 15 | -2 |