Homberg vs Velbert analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.8%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
38.8%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+81%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Homberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
VFB
5 - 3
AAA
32%
25%
43%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
KÖL
2 - 0
VFB
68%
19%
13%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2010 |
ROT
1 - 0
VFB
76%
17%
8%
|
29 | 55 | 26 | -1 |
| 15 Jul. 2010 |
VFB
0 - 5
GAL
10%
19%
72%
|
29 | 86 | 57 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2008 |
VFB
2 - 4
DUS
55%
23%
22%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Velbert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
VEL
1 - 1
KÖL
51%
22%
27%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2010 |
VEL
1 - 0
SCH
55%
22%
23%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
VEL
2 - 2
ROT
20%
24%
56%
|
37 | 55 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2010 |
WHE
2 - 1
VEL
44%
25%
31%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2010 |
HAM
0 - 0
VEL
34%
25%
42%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |