Homberg vs Meerbusch analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
21.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Homberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2025 |
VFB
1 - 5
MSV
17%
21%
62%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2025 |
VFB
2 - 1
SWE
35%
27%
38%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2025 |
1FC
3 - 2
VFB
17%
23%
60%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2025 |
VFB
2 - 2
KLE
58%
24%
18%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
TEU
3 - 0
VFB
41%
25%
34%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Meerbusch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2025 |
SFN
3 - 3
MEE
27%
24%
50%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2025 |
MEE
6 - 4
FCB
42%
24%
34%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | +2 |
| 18 May. 2025 |
MFC
2 - 5
MEE
32%
23%
45%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
MEE
1 - 3
SVB
61%
20%
19%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
TDV
1 - 5
MEE
24%
22%
54%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | +1 |