Homberg vs SV Straelen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
22.7%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.6%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Homberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2007 |
GEW
0 - 0
VFB
33%
24%
43%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2007 |
DUS
4 - 3
VFB
43%
25%
33%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2007 |
VFB
3 - 1
AAA
33%
24%
43%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | +2 |
| 20 May. 2007 |
BER
1 - 0
VFB
40%
25%
36%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2007 |
VFB
3 - 0
USO
78%
14%
8%
|
31 | 17 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
SV Straelen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2007 |
STR
1 - 1
DUS
42%
25%
33%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2007 |
STR
2 - 0
FCB
42%
27%
31%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2007 |
DIE
2 - 1
STR
72%
17%
11%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2007 |
STR
0 - 0
SPE
49%
24%
27%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2007 |
MSV
6 - 2
STR
68%
18%
14%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | -1 |