Homberg vs Sonsbeck analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.4%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
10%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
19%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Homberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
VFR
1 - 1
VFB
17%
19%
64%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
VFB
5 - 0
SHN
88%
9%
4%
|
29 | 11 | 18 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2016 |
TEU
0 - 4
VFB
20%
20%
61%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | +2 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
STR
2 - 3
VFB
38%
22%
40%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
VFB
2 - 1
SPE
71%
17%
12%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Sonsbeck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
SON
1 - 3
KLE
29%
22%
50%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
NET
2 - 2
SON
43%
23%
34%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2016 |
FCV
0 - 1
SON
28%
23%
50%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | +2 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
SON
3 - 2
VUE
79%
13%
8%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
RHE
3 - 0
SON
57%
22%
21%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | -1 |