Homberg vs SF Baumberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.8%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
17.7%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-61%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Homberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
JDH
1 - 4
VFB
23%
21%
56%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2018 |
DUS
3 - 4
VFB
10%
16%
74%
|
40 | 22 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
VFB
2 - 2
SCH
47%
25%
28%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -2 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
SPE
3 - 3
VFB
24%
21%
56%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2018 |
SWE
1 - 3
VFB
23%
22%
55%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
SF Baumberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
SFB
2 - 2
NET
70%
16%
14%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2018 |
SFB
2 - 1
HER
42%
21%
38%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Jul. 2018 |
SFB
0 - 5
AAA
27%
24%
49%
|
34 | 48 | 14 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2018 |
SCH
3 - 0
SFB
58%
20%
22%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
SFB
3 - 4
SPE
67%
17%
16%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | -2 |