Homberg vs SF Baumberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.1%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
29.2%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-62%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Homberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2017 |
TSV
3 - 4
VFB
68%
19%
14%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2017 |
VFB
6 - 2
SCH
65%
19%
16%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2017 |
VFB
0 - 4
MSV
8%
17%
76%
|
34 | 69 | 35 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2017 |
VFB
6 - 1
MEE
65%
18%
17%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
JDH
5 - 1
VFB
44%
24%
32%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
SF Baumberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2017 |
VEL
4 - 2
SFB
38%
24%
39%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
SFB
4 - 4
KRA
70%
17%
13%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
SFB
2 - 0
VFB
40%
23%
37%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | +2 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
DUS
3 - 2
SFB
28%
23%
49%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2017 |
HNI
1 - 1
SFB
36%
23%
41%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |