Homberg vs Schwarz-Weiss Essen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.2%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
23.3%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+69%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Homberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2017 |
VFB
2 - 2
CRO
73%
16%
11%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
JDH
2 - 3
VFB
59%
21%
20%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
VEL
3 - 1
VFB
42%
24%
34%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | -2 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
VFB
3 - 0
KFI
45%
23%
33%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | +2 |
| 16 Aug. 2017 |
DUS
2 - 2
VFB
39%
22%
39%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Schwarz-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2017 |
SPE
2 - 1
SWE
42%
22%
36%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
SWE
3 - 2
SCH
35%
23%
43%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | +2 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
SWE
4 - 2
STR
39%
22%
39%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
TSG
1 - 4
SWE
81%
13%
6%
|
25 | 68 | 43 | +3 |
| 16 Aug. 2017 |
SWE
4 - 1
HIL
33%
24%
43%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | +1 |