Homberg vs Schwarz-Weiss Essen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.4%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.9%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.1%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
54.4%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+92%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Homberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
RWO
1 - 3
VFB
55%
22%
23%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
VFB
3 - 3
GRA
32%
24%
45%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2012 |
KAP
1 - 0
VFB
57%
21%
22%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
VFB
1 - 1
HAM
15%
22%
63%
|
21 | 52 | 31 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 2012 |
WER
3 - 1
VFB
66%
18%
16%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Schwarz-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
SWE
5 - 0
CRO
80%
14%
7%
|
34 | 18 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
BOS
2 - 3
SWE
16%
21%
63%
|
34 | 18 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2012 |
SWE
1 - 2
KFC
50%
24%
26%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
SON
2 - 0
SWE
18%
21%
60%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | -2 |
| 03 Jun. 2012 |
SWE
1 - 0
SPE
62%
21%
17%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |