Homberg vs Schwarz-Weiss Essen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
47.1%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+73%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Homberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
KFC
3 - 2
VFB
59%
21%
20%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
VFB
5 - 1
BER
46%
24%
30%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
BSC
4 - 2
VFB
61%
21%
18%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2008 |
SPE
0 - 1
VFB
41%
25%
35%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
VFB
0 - 2
BOR
19%
22%
60%
|
27 | 46 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Schwarz-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
SWE
2 - 1
DUS
60%
23%
16%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2008 |
SWE
2 - 2
WUP
53%
25%
22%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2008 |
AAA
3 - 2
SWE
40%
26%
34%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2008 |
BAY
4 - 0
SWE
70%
18%
12%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2008 |
GEW
0 - 1
SWE
30%
25%
46%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | +1 |