Homberg vs Schermbeck analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.9%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
28%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+52%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Homberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2011 |
SPO
0 - 2
VFB
67%
20%
13%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
AAA
0 - 1
VFB
74%
16%
10%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
VFB
0 - 2
KÖL
32%
23%
45%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
VFB
2 - 0
WHE
34%
23%
43%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | +2 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
SPE
0 - 3
VFB
74%
17%
9%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Schermbeck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
SCH
1 - 3
KÖL
32%
24%
44%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
SCH
1 - 2
ROT
15%
23%
62%
|
30 | 53 | 23 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
SCH
3 - 1
SPE
31%
27%
42%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | +3 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
SCH
1 - 3
WEG
70%
18%
12%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
SPO
3 - 0
SCH
56%
24%
20%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | -5 |