Homberg vs Rot-Weiss Essen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.1%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.7%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.7%
22%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.9%
64.9%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
15.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.4%
0-2
13.7%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.2%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Homberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
VFB
1 - 0
BER
43%
24%
33%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
WER
2 - 0
VFB
53%
22%
24%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
VFB
1 - 2
SCH
48%
24%
28%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2011 |
SPO
0 - 2
VFB
67%
20%
13%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | +2 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
AAA
0 - 1
VFB
74%
16%
10%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Rot-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
ROT
2 - 0
HUL
76%
16%
8%
|
54 | 31 | 23 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
MSV
1 - 1
ROT
18%
23%
60%
|
54 | 32 | 22 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
ROT
3 - 0
SWE
69%
19%
12%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
BER
1 - 4
ROT
13%
23%
65%
|
54 | 30 | 24 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2011 |
ROT
4 - 1
VEL
71%
19%
11%
|
53 | 37 | 16 | +1 |