Homberg vs Kray analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.9%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
17%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17%
12%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Homberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2017 |
VFB
0 - 0
FCB
46%
22%
32%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
HNI
2 - 5
VFB
41%
24%
35%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | +2 |
| 21 Apr. 2017 |
VFB
3 - 1
VEL
40%
23%
37%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
VFB
0 - 1
DUS
54%
22%
23%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
KFC
1 - 0
VFB
67%
19%
14%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Kray
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2017 |
KRA
3 - 6
VEL
30%
22%
48%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
KRA
4 - 1
DUS
26%
24%
51%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | +3 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
KFC
5 - 2
KRA
82%
12%
6%
|
23 | 44 | 21 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2017 |
KRA
1 - 3
GRA
23%
23%
54%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
CRO
2 - 3
KRA
52%
23%
26%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | +1 |