Homberg vs Kray analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.9%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.8%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.8%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
39.9%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Homberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
GRA
0 - 0
VFB
35%
24%
41%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
VFB
3 - 0
RWO
37%
23%
40%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | +3 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
SON
1 - 0
VFB
42%
23%
35%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
VFB
2 - 2
BOS
59%
20%
20%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
UED
4 - 4
VFB
18%
20%
62%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Kray
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2014 |
KRA
1 - 1
WUP
50%
22%
28%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
KRA
7 - 2
WES
84%
11%
5%
|
39 | 15 | 24 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
SPE
2 - 4
KRA
20%
21%
60%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
KRA
3 - 1
RHE
72%
17%
12%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
DUS
0 - 1
KRA
47%
23%
30%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | +1 |