Homberg vs Köln II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.4%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.4%
18%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18%
68%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
10%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.1%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
13.4%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.1%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Homberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2006 |
SPE
5 - 0
VFB
53%
22%
25%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2006 |
VFB
5 - 2
MSV
42%
22%
36%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2006 |
WUP
2 - 0
VFB
52%
23%
25%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2006 |
VFB
0 - 3
KLE
37%
24%
39%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2006 |
ROT
1 - 0
VFB
75%
17%
9%
|
28 | 54 | 26 | -1 |
Matches
Köln II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2006 |
DIE
1 - 3
AAA
72%
18%
11%
|
47 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2006 |
BER
1 - 1
DIE
12%
18%
70%
|
48 | 29 | 19 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2006 |
DIE
1 - 3
USO
82%
13%
5%
|
48 | 22 | 26 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2006 |
SWE
1 - 2
DIE
18%
22%
61%
|
48 | 32 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2006 |
DIE
3 - 0
BSC
74%
17%
10%
|
47 | 33 | 14 | +1 |