Homberg vs Fortuna Düsseldorf II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.5%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.9%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
49.4%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Homberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
KÖL
1 - 1
VFB
79%
15%
6%
|
31 | 54 | 23 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2022 |
VFB
0 - 1
ROD
13%
21%
66%
|
32 | 51 | 19 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
VFB
0 - 2
WUP
12%
19%
69%
|
33 | 51 | 18 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
STR
0 - 4
VFB
64%
20%
17%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | +2 |
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
AAA
2 - 0
VFB
63%
20%
18%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Fortuna Düsseldorf II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
FOR
1 - 2
BSC
63%
20%
17%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
FOR
1 - 1
KÖL
20%
23%
57%
|
40 | 54 | 14 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2022 |
FOR
1 - 1
RWA
49%
23%
29%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
FOR
0 - 4
STR
60%
20%
20%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | -2 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
ROT
4 - 1
FOR
76%
16%
8%
|
43 | 59 | 16 | -1 |