Homberg vs FC Bocholt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.1%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
25.3%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Homberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2007 |
DIE
4 - 1
VFB
68%
18%
14%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
VFB
1 - 0
SPE
53%
23%
24%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
MSV
4 - 1
VFB
48%
22%
30%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | -2 |
| 25 Feb. 2007 |
VFB
0 - 1
WUP
48%
24%
28%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2006 |
VFB
1 - 3
ROT
14%
20%
66%
|
31 | 53 | 22 | -1 |
Matches
FC Bocholt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2007 |
FCB
1 - 3
AAA
41%
26%
34%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
BER
0 - 1
FCB
49%
25%
26%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
FCB
0 - 1
USO
74%
17%
10%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2006 |
DUR
0 - 1
FCB
35%
26%
40%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2006 |
FCB
3 - 0
KFC
41%
26%
33%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | +3 |