Homberg vs Arminia Bielefeld II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.5%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.7%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.9%
23%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
52.5%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16%
0-3
5%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Homberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
MSV
1 - 1
VFB
64%
19%
17%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2012 |
VFB
1 - 4
VIK
17%
22%
62%
|
29 | 53 | 24 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
VFB
0 - 0
WER
55%
22%
23%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
SWE
2 - 3
VFB
51%
25%
25%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
VFB
0 - 2
SPO
27%
24%
49%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | -2 |
Matches
Arminia Bielefeld II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
BER
5 - 1
ABI
23%
23%
54%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2011 |
HUL
2 - 3
ABI
32%
24%
44%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
ABI
6 - 0
KFC
63%
20%
17%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
VEL
4 - 4
ABI
44%
24%
32%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
WHE
1 - 5
ABI
17%
22%
61%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | +1 |