Homberg vs Alemannia Aachen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.2%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.1%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.9%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
49.6%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Homberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2022 |
DIE
2 - 1
VFB
79%
14%
7%
|
33 | 48 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
VFB
2 - 1
WIE
16%
24%
61%
|
29 | 47 | 18 | +4 |
| 27 Apr. 2022 |
LIP
0 - 1
VFB
71%
17%
12%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
KFC
0 - 4
VFB
74%
16%
11%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | +3 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
VFB
0 - 1
ROT
8%
17%
75%
|
25 | 53 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2022 |
AAA
3 - 1
FOR
48%
25%
27%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
KÖL
0 - 0
AAA
72%
18%
10%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2022 |
RWA
0 - 2
AAA
51%
24%
25%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | +2 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
AAA
1 - 2
WUP
18%
22%
60%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2022 |
AAA
1 - 1
DIE
26%
24%
50%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | +1 |