Homberg vs Alemannia Aachen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.4%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
29.6%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Homberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
WUP
2 - 1
VFB
51%
24%
25%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2021 |
BOR
0 - 2
VFB
58%
22%
20%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | +2 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
VFB
1 - 1
STR
26%
23%
51%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
BER
0 - 2
VFB
38%
24%
38%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
VFB
0 - 2
ROD
15%
20%
65%
|
39 | 55 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
AAA
2 - 3
STR
34%
25%
41%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
BER
0 - 0
AAA
26%
26%
48%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2021 |
KÖL
2 - 2
AAA
62%
22%
16%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
AAA
0 - 0
ROD
18%
22%
60%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2021 |
LIP
2 - 0
AAA
28%
26%
46%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | -2 |