Homberg vs Alemannia Aachen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.4%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
41.9%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Homberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
WUP
3 - 1
VFB
43%
22%
35%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
VFB
0 - 3
SPO
30%
23%
46%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | -2 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
VFB
5 - 4
STR
32%
24%
44%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2020 |
VFB
2 - 2
FCB
59%
21%
20%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2020 |
VFB
6 - 1
HAM
81%
12%
7%
|
41 | 18 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
AAA
3 - 3
BOR
46%
25%
29%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
TUS
2 - 1
AAA
15%
22%
63%
|
46 | 29 | 17 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
AAA
4 - 1
VIK
18%
19%
63%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2020 |
AAA
5 - 2
VEL
64%
20%
16%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2019 |
FOR
2 - 3
AAA
23%
24%
53%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | +1 |