Hermsdorf vs Wacker 04 Berlin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.3%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.9%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.3%
38.4%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hermsdorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1966 |
HER
2 - 5
HER
24%
21%
56%
|
48 | 75 | 27 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1966 |
FCN
2 - 1
HER
61%
19%
20%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 1966 |
HER
2 - 1
BFS
51%
21%
29%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 1966 |
KIC
1 - 2
HER
57%
20%
23%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 1966 |
HER
5 - 1
LIC
71%
16%
14%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Wacker 04 Berlin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1966 |
WAB
4 - 1
FCN
76%
14%
11%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1966 |
BFS
0 - 1
WAB
48%
21%
30%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 1966 |
WAB
3 - 4
KIC
80%
12%
8%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 1966 |
LIC
1 - 4
WAB
27%
22%
51%
|
57 | 40 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1966 |
WAB
1 - 1
SSV
39%
23%
39%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | +1 |