VF Colligiana vs Città di Castello analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.4%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
27.3%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VF Colligiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
JMO
1 - 2
VFC
68%
18%
14%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
VFC
2 - 1
FOL
25%
25%
49%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | +2 |
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
FCV
2 - 2
VFC
80%
15%
6%
|
29 | 51 | 22 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
VFC
1 - 1
ACS
42%
27%
32%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
ASG
2 - 1
VFC
83%
13%
5%
|
29 | 53 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Città di Castello
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
SSD
1 - 0
MPO
27%
26%
47%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
VOL
2 - 1
SSD
42%
26%
33%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
SSD
1 - 1
JMO
33%
24%
42%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
SSD
2 - 1
FOL
24%
25%
51%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | +2 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
FCV
1 - 2
SSD
80%
14%
6%
|
26 | 51 | 25 | +1 |