Q. Europa League Second Round Final
Global 3-2
Vetra vs HJK Helsinki analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.3%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
27%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vetra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2009 |
VET
3 - 0
GRE
60%
22%
18%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2009 |
GRE
0 - 3
VET
33%
26%
41%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | +1 |
| 28 Jun. 2009 |
KRU
0 - 3
VET
16%
25%
59%
|
78 | 47 | 31 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2009 |
SUD
1 - 1
VET
54%
25%
22%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2009 |
VET
2 - 1
FAS
62%
23%
15%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
HJK Helsinki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2009 |
KUO
0 - 3
HJK
20%
26%
54%
|
78 | 56 | 22 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2009 |
FCE
0 - 1
HJK
14%
20%
66%
|
78 | 38 | 40 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2009 |
FFJ
0 - 2
HJK
30%
27%
43%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2009 |
VAA
3 - 4
HJK
25%
28%
47%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2009 |
HJK
2 - 0
INT
54%
24%
22%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |