Hellas Verona U18 vs Lecce U18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.5%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.1%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.2%
51.3%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+54%
+34%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
11º
16º
15º
38
9º
17º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 73 |
1º
|
90.5% | |
|
3º
|
66 | 69 |
2º
|
32% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 68 |
3º
|
32% | |
|
4º
|
59 | 60 |
4º
|
66.5% | |
|
5º
|
56 | 57 |
5º
|
54% | |
|
6º
|
54 | 55 |
6º
|
87.5% | |
|
7º
|
51 | 51 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
47 | 48 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
43 | 46 |
9º
|
38.5% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 44 |
10º
|
29.5% | |
|
11º
|
41 | 42 |
11º
|
23% | |
|
12º
|
39 | 42 |
12º
|
21% | |
|
|
13º
|
38 | 41 |
13º
|
32% | |
|
14º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
57% | |
|
|
15º
|
33 | 33 |
15º
|
41% | |
|
16º
|
32 | 32 |
16º
|
63% | |
|
17º
|
24 | 24 |
17º
|
43.5% | |
|
18º
|
23 | 24 |
18º
|
43.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hellas Verona U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
HEL
0 - 1
SAS
32%
22%
46%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
SAM
2 - 2
HEL
55%
20%
25%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
HEL
2 - 4
INT
12%
16%
72%
|
21 | 45 | 24 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
LAZ
2 - 1
HEL
75%
15%
10%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2024 |
HEL
3 - 3
GEN
16%
18%
67%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Lecce U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
LEC
1 - 2
BOL
28%
21%
51%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
SAS
1 - 0
LEC
33%
23%
45%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
LEC
5 - 3
LAZ
26%
22%
52%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | +3 |
| 21 May. 2024 |
GEN
1 - 1
LEC
64%
18%
18%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
LEC
2 - 2
TOR
41%
23%
37%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | +1 |