Vernier vs FC Châtel-St-Denis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.2%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.2%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.3%
11.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+145%
-24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
5º
15º
5º
17
11º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
61 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 48 |
4º
|
72% | |
|
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
72% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
35 | 35 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 29 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
17 | 17 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vernier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2025 |
VER
4 - 1
ODG
35%
22%
44%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2025 |
ROM
2 - 2
VER
52%
20%
28%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2025 |
VER
1 - 0
TER
36%
22%
42%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | +2 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
CON
0 - 3
VER
63%
18%
19%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | +2 |
| 07 May. 2025 |
MAR
2 - 0
VER
68%
19%
14%
|
30 | 46 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
FC Châtel-St-Denis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2025 |
FAR
4 - 2
FCC
69%
18%
13%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2025 |
PFO
1 - 0
FCC
69%
17%
14%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
FCA
4 - 0
FCC
80%
13%
7%
|
25 | 44 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
FCC
1 - 1
COL
17%
20%
63%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
FCC
1 - 0
ODG
12%
18%
70%
|
21 | 38 | 17 | +3 |