Vergiatese vs Magenta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.4%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
18.2%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vergiatese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
VIG
2 - 1
VER
83%
12%
5%
|
21 | 58 | 37 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
VER
0 - 2
VER
25%
24%
51%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
LEG
1 - 0
VER
74%
16%
11%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
VER
1 - 2
VAR
22%
22%
57%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
TRE
0 - 0
VER
57%
22%
22%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Magenta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
VER
3 - 2
MAG
80%
13%
7%
|
18 | 36 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
MAG
0 - 2
LEG
17%
21%
62%
|
19 | 34 | 15 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
VAR
4 - 1
MAG
79%
14%
8%
|
19 | 37 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
MAG
1 - 2
TRE
28%
24%
48%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
ACC
2 - 1
MAG
69%
17%
13%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | -1 |