Vergiatese vs AS Sestese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.6%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.3%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
38.6%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vergiatese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
VIG
1 - 1
VER
49%
23%
28%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
VER
1 - 2
FEN
21%
21%
58%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
BUS
5 - 0
VER
82%
12%
6%
|
25 | 46 | 21 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
VER
0 - 4
ARD
56%
21%
23%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
ARC
0 - 0
VER
67%
18%
15%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
AS Sestese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
ASS
1 - 0
VER
38%
24%
37%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
LEG
1 - 2
ASS
68%
18%
14%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
ASS
0 - 0
VAR
31%
23%
47%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
TRE
1 - 1
ASS
38%
25%
38%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
ASS
3 - 1
ACC
45%
23%
32%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | +2 |