Vergiatese vs Ardor Lazzate analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.3%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
22.6%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vergiatese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
ARC
0 - 0
VER
67%
18%
15%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
VER
3 - 1
ACC
42%
23%
35%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | +2 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
MAG
0 - 4
VER
37%
23%
39%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Ardor Lazzate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
ARD
0 - 6
VER
34%
25%
41%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
LEG
3 - 1
ARD
70%
17%
13%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
ARD
0 - 3
VAR
34%
23%
42%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | -1 |