Vergiatese vs Arconatese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.6%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.7%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.4%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
56.6%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.3%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vergiatese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
ACC
0 - 1
VER
72%
17%
12%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
VER
0 - 3
MAG
62%
19%
18%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
VIG
2 - 1
VER
83%
12%
5%
|
21 | 58 | 37 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
VER
0 - 2
VER
25%
24%
51%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
LEG
1 - 0
VER
74%
16%
11%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Arconatese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
ARC
0 - 0
VER
46%
24%
30%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
LEG
1 - 0
ARC
48%
23%
29%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
VAR
2 - 1
ARC
50%
22%
27%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
ARC
2 - 0
TRE
66%
19%
15%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
ACC
1 - 2
ARC
30%
23%
47%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | +1 |