Verges vs Quart B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.3%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.1%
11.9%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Verges
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
SAC
1 - 1
VER
30%
22%
48%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
VER
5 - 0
GUA
81%
12%
7%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
SAG
1 - 3
VER
18%
20%
62%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
VER
1 - 0
PON
56%
20%
24%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
SPA
1 - 0
VER
35%
22%
43%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Quart B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
QUA
4 - 0
PER
42%
21%
38%
|
8 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
SGI
4 - 2
QUA
77%
14%
10%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
QUA
3 - 4
MED
43%
21%
36%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
BEL
2 - 1
QUA
68%
17%
15%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
QUA
1 - 0
JAF
56%
20%
24%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | 0 |