Verges vs Palafrugell analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
6.5%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.2%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
1.9%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
5%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.7%
79.8%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
14%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.6%
0-3
11.9%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
17.2%
0-4
7.6%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
10.3%
0-5
3.9%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.1%
-5
5%
0-6
1.7%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
2.1%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Verges
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2023 |
EMP
2 - 1
VER
57%
20%
24%
|
8 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
VER
0 - 3
SAN
31%
21%
48%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
VER
0 - 2
MON
10%
15%
74%
|
10 | 18 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
MON
3 - 2
VER
48%
21%
31%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
VER
3 - 4
EMP
59%
18%
23%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Palafrugell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2023 |
PAL
3 - 0
POR
82%
12%
6%
|
19 | 11 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
BRS
0 - 2
PAL
9%
16%
75%
|
19 | 9 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
PAL
1 - 1
PAT
85%
11%
5%
|
19 | 11 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
AGU
0 - 2
PAL
6%
13%
81%
|
20 | 7 | 13 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
PAL
4 - 1
BAS
87%
9%
4%
|
19 | 10 | 9 | +1 |