Verges vs Bellcaire 2012 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.1%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.7%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
58.3%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Verges
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2022 |
VER
2 - 2
EMP
38%
22%
40%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
CIS
2 - 1
VER
66%
18%
16%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
VER
0 - 4
PAT
33%
23%
43%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
LAJ
2 - 2
VER
57%
19%
24%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
VER
1 - 4
BAS
42%
23%
35%
|
8 | 9 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Bellcaire 2012
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2022 |
BEL
2 - 2
VIL
28%
21%
51%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
BEL
13 - 0
NAV
73%
15%
12%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
ROC
0 - 1
BEL
62%
19%
19%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
BEL
3 - 3
BSB
21%
21%
58%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
BEL
2 - 1
CAD
72%
16%
12%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | 0 |