Verges vs Bellcaire 2012 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.2%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
31.5%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Verges
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
JAF
1 - 1
VER
23%
22%
55%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
PAT
0 - 1
VER
20%
21%
59%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
VER
4 - 1
SCO
73%
15%
11%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
QUA
1 - 1
VER
37%
23%
41%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
VER
2 - 0
SAC
58%
20%
22%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Bellcaire 2012
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
BEL
3 - 2
PER
66%
18%
17%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
SGI
3 - 2
BEL
57%
20%
23%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
BEL
3 - 1
MED
73%
15%
12%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
BEL
5 - 2
SAU
54%
21%
25%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
JAF
1 - 1
BEL
20%
21%
59%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | -1 |