Verdal vs Orkla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.4%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.4%
30.2%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-51%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
6º
12º
11º
34
6º
14º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 61 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 35 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 32 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 30 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 23 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 10 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Verdal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
MOS
4 - 2
VER
62%
19%
19%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
KOL
0 - 1
VER
27%
21%
52%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
VER
2 - 0
FBG
42%
22%
36%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
TLI
0 - 3
VER
34%
22%
44%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
VER
0 - 2
STR
7%
12%
81%
|
22 | 45 | 23 | -1 |
Matches
Orkla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
ORK
5 - 1
FBG
58%
18%
24%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
RFK
3 - 1
ORK
81%
11%
7%
|
21 | 40 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
ORK
8 - 1
TLI
75%
13%
12%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
STR
1 - 0
ORK
93%
5%
2%
|
20 | 45 | 25 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
ORK
2 - 1
KOL
71%
15%
15%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |