Panama Promotion League - Apertura Western Conference Round 7

4 - 1

24 FEB 2023 06:00

Full-time

Veraguas II vs Independiente II analysis


43	ELO	53
-0.8%	Tilt	-1.8%
46663º	General ELO ranking	46664º
88º	Country ELO ranking	89º
ELO win probability

18.5%

Veraguas II

22.6%

Draw

58.9%

Independiente II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of handicap

18.5%
Win probability

                        
                    
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.4%

22.6%

Draw

0-0

6.4%

1-1

10.8%

2-2

4.5%

3-3

0.8%

4-4

0.1%

22.6%

58.9%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.8%
0-4
3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

-52%

-16%

Points and table prediction

Their league position

CURR.POS.

5º

PTS.

Best position

Worst

EXP.

1º

7º

5º

1º

4º

2º

PTS.

Best position

Worst

EXP.

CURR.POS.

2º

Expected position in the table

		Final expectations
RK	PTS.	PTS.	RK	PROB
1º	35	36	1º	100%
2º	34	34	2º	100%
4º	33	33	3º	0%
3º	33	33	4º	30.5%
5º	30	31	5º	69.5%
6º	23	23	6º	0%
7º	23	23	7º	0%
8º	18	18	8º	100%
10º	15	16	9º	48.5%
9º	16	16	10º	48.5%
11º	12	13	11º	68%
12º	0	0	12º	100%

See complete ranking Show less

Expected probabilities

Next round	0%	100%
Mid-table	100%	0%

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Veraguas II

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
14 Feb. 2023	SFF 2 - 1 VCD 51% 23% 26%	41	43	2	0
12 Feb. 2023	AFM 1 - 0 VCD 73% 17% 10%	42	54	12	-1
04 Feb. 2023	VCD 6 - 0 ACH 60% 20% 20%	41	36	5	+1
28 Jan. 2023	HFC 1 - 3 VCD 42% 23% 36%	39	39	0	+2
20 Jan. 2023	SAP 1 - 2 VCD 53% 24% 24%	38	41	3	+1

Matches

Independiente II

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
15 Feb. 2023	HFC 0 - 5 IDC 12% 21% 67%	54	36	18	0
12 Feb. 2023	NAC 1 - 3 IDC 48% 26% 27%	53	55	2	+1
03 Feb. 2023	IDC 0 - 1 SFF 73% 17% 11%	53	43	10	0
29 Jan. 2023	IDC 3 - 2 OES 56% 24% 20%	52	49	3	+1
22 Jan. 2023	UDP 1 - 3 IDC 39% 28% 33%	51	51	0	+1