Veracruz vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.8%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.9%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.3%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.2%
63%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
16%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.9%
0-2
13.7%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Veracruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2019 |
SAN
5 - 0
VER
81%
13%
6%
|
62 | 83 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2019 |
JUA
2 - 0
VER
53%
26%
22%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
VER
0 - 0
CAZ
15%
24%
61%
|
63 | 84 | 21 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
MOR
1 - 0
VER
75%
16%
9%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2019 |
VER
0 - 5
QRO
23%
27%
50%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2019 |
TOL
3 - 1
AUR
60%
22%
18%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
ATS
0 - 1
TOL
29%
26%
45%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
TOL
0 - 2
MOR
54%
23%
23%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
ALE
1 - 4
TOL
30%
26%
44%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
PUM
2 - 1
TOL
41%
26%
34%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |