Veracruz vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.2%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.8%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.9%
56.9%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
14.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.2%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Veracruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2018 |
DOR
1 - 0
VER
33%
25%
42%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
CAZ
4 - 1
VER
66%
22%
12%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
VER
1 - 0
TIJ
24%
27%
50%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2018 |
TIG
4 - 0
VER
75%
17%
8%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
VER
0 - 2
CHI
27%
29%
44%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2018 |
TOL
1 - 0
TIJ
60%
22%
18%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
TOL
2 - 1
SAN
50%
24%
26%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2018 |
JUA
2 - 2
TOL
25%
27%
48%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
TOL
1 - 2
LEO
56%
23%
21%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2018 |
CAZ
1 - 0
TOL
40%
27%
34%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | -1 |