Veracruz vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.1%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
40.3%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Veracruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2016 |
VER
1 - 2
JUA
65%
20%
16%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2016 |
JAG
1 - 1
VER
43%
26%
31%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2016 |
VER
4 - 1
SAN
36%
27%
37%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
VER
2 - 4
AME
28%
26%
47%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
ATS
1 - 0
VER
38%
27%
35%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
TOL
0 - 0
TIG
51%
26%
24%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2016 |
LOB
1 - 1
TOL
25%
27%
49%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
TOL
2 - 0
PAC
47%
25%
28%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2016 |
JAG
1 - 0
TOL
31%
26%
43%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2016 |
AME
3 - 1
TOL
51%
25%
25%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |